Sticky wicket? I think not...

While I agree with the vast majority of Bill Lind's statement regarding the danger Israel faces with its current course of action (and the benefits it offers to Hezbollah), I disagree with a portion of this:

"An interesting theoretical speculation is whether, if Hezbollah’s 4GW success continues, some Middle Eastern governments might try adopting Fourth Generation techniques themselves. Lebanon’s fictional government has suggested the Lebanese Army may join Hezbollah in defending southern Lebanon from an Israeli invasion. Militarily, such an action would be meaningless, and it probably reflects a desperate desire to keep the Lebanese Army (which is 40% Shiite) from fractioning, along with Lebanon itself. But what if instead the government called for a million marchers, mostly women and children, to head toward the Lebanese-Israeli frontier, waving palm branches and singing songs? That’s how Morocco took the Spanish Sahara, and it would present Israel with a sticky wicket indeed." [emphasis added]

In fact, such an action HAS already been suggested by Lebanese bloggers. Will it actually come to pass? I would imagine not. That being said...

At this point, Israel should be so lucky. Such an action by the Lebanese people, quite apart from representing a difficult decision for Israel, would offer one of the few face-saving escapes for Israel at this point...a valid reason to cease their ineffective military campaign...a chance to show the world they can be swayed by humanitarian concerns...a chance to demonstrate that someone OTHER than Hezbollah was responsible for Israeli retreat from a no-win situation.

Then again, I question whether Israel's military leaders would have the depth of vision to recognize such an act as an opportunity.